1-1 (+0.00 Units)

Reds Moneyline -155 (Play up to -170)

Current line: -155 (at publication). Pass if the line climbs above -170. Odds can move before first pitch.

✅ Chase Burns has been one of the best starters in baseball:

✅ Cleveland enters on a five-game losing streak, and its offense has cooled off considerably during that stretch.

✅ We believe this price should be closer to the -170 to -180 range. At -155, we see value. If the market pushes the Reds above -170, that edge begins to disappear.

The Reds haven't been an explosive offense this season and are also without Spencer Steer, who was recently placed on the injured list.

That means this play leans heavily on Chase Burns doing what he's done all year—giving Cincinnati a quality start and putting them in position to win.

You don't have to bet every game on the board.

Sometimes one game offers value while the rest don't. Discipline isn't about making more bets—it's about making better bets.

Don't pay the Square Tax. Collect it.

— The Square Tax