Discipline Over Desperation. Current lines as of 12:00 PM ET. Odds can move—confirm before placing your wager.📒 The Ledger

Last Week: 6–3 (finished with a 4–0 weekend)

This Week: 4–7

Overall: 10–10

Play to: -145

Why we like it:

Zack Wheeler gives Philadelphia the edge on the mound, and the current price is still fair. Rather than laying a run and a half, we'll back the better team to win the game.

Play to: -140

Why we like it:

Tampa has the superior overall club and a favorable matchup against a White Sox team that continues to struggle offensively. The number is reasonable enough that we'll lay it.

This is an intriguing plus-money spot, but not enough to elevate it to an official play. We'll watch from the sidelines.

❌ Cubs ML (+112)

❌ Diamondbacks ML (+155)

Both have attractive prices, but neither offers enough value relative to the pitching matchup for us to make them official.

We accept losing weeks.

What we don't accept is changing our process just to erase them.

The market doesn't care what our record was yesterday. Every game stands on its own. We'll continue to bet value—not emotion.

Don't bet more games because you're behind.

Bet the games that deserve your money.

There is a difference.

Keep collecting.

— The Square Tax