THE SQUARE TAX
Saturday Free Edition — October 10
CURRENT LEDGER
Official Plays: 24–18 over the last 42 — 57.1%
NFL Official Plays: 12–5 over the last 17 — 70.6%
It’s a loaded college football Saturday, and because of today’s travel schedule, we’re putting the entire board out early.
The Tax Code card has 4 Official Plays locked in for today, with additional leans and the baseball playoff game also covered.
No locks. No gimmicks. Just disciplined betting analysis.
TODAY’S FREE PLAY
LSU at Kentucky — KENTUCKY +9.5
Kentucky is catching nearly double digits at home, and that number is enough for us to get involved.
LSU absolutely has the higher-end talent, but asking them to go on the road and win by double digits is a different question than simply asking them to win the game.
At +9.5, Kentucky can lose by more than a touchdown and still cash.
We like having the home dog with that much cushion.
FREE PLAY: KENTUCKY +9.5
LONG SHOT LOUNGE — BEER MONEY ONLY 🍺
Oklahoma ML
Vanderbilt ML
Houston ML
This is the kind of long-shot parlay we actually like — not three random underdogs thrown together just to chase a giant number.
Oklahoma has a defense we trust in what projects as a low-scoring rivalry game. Vanderbilt is getting Ole Miss in a spot where weather and home field could help drag the game into the mud. Houston is in a matchup we think is much closer to a coin flip than the market suggests.
Depending on the book, this should land roughly in the +2400 to +2700 range.
For entertainment only. This is not an Official Play and does not count toward The Square Tax record. It’s a small-stakes, high-upside parlay built from a few underdogs or plus-money angles we think have a legitimate path to hit.
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TAX CODE TODAY
Inside the full Tax Code report:
4 Official Plays
Full Saturday college football card
Georgia–Alabama breakdown
Red River analysis
Late-night college football
MLB playoff analysis
Playable numbers and cutoffs
Tax Code members also receive our College Football Betting Guide, normally $19.99 standalone, included with membership.
$9.99/month or $99/year
No locks. No gimmicks. Just disciplined betting analysis.